Pretty sure the blind partisan political alliances a large amount of Americans are falling into is going to prevent more than any one side of the political spectrum.
Politics
- Anthony_Hugo98
- Penntower
- Posts: 2007
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- Location: Overland Park, KS
Re: Politics
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- Administrator
- Posts: 11240
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Re: Politics
Trumpism isn't really a side of the political spectrum, though. If it becomes one, well, so much for America. Fun while it lasted.
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- Strip mall
- Posts: 205
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Re: Politics
It's always worth keeping in mind that a lot of the Trump cult is based on personality, and the candidates that have tried to embrace his style have mostly gone down in flames, even in red states. And Trump himself lost the popular vote against an unpopular opponent.
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- Administrator
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Re: Politics
Good point. It can be hard to maintain perspective amidst the chaos. I liked it better when there was less chaos.
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- Mark Twain Tower
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Re: Politics
Will be interesting to see if GOP support diminishes for Trump before election, some may even step up against him at this point. If the case and polls drop dramatically for him to point of looking like a landslide loss, it actually wouldn't be surprising if Trump resigns before election. His ego is big and insane enough that he might rather resign with his alternate reality vision of his 'amazing' success that he wants in history books than deal with losing in a landslide.
Lots of ifs, maybe a fantasy. Probably won't be a landslide but some GOP turning against him might happen, especially blue/purple state GOP.
Lots of ifs, maybe a fantasy. Probably won't be a landslide but some GOP turning against him might happen, especially blue/purple state GOP.
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- Administrator
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Re: Politics
History suggests otherwise. If the polls look especially grim, you point to 2016 and say Hillary was supposed to win. If the polls prove prescient and you lose in a landslide, you say it's because of rampant fraud and insist you actually won. The playbook isn't exactly a secret here.
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- Mark Twain Tower
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Re: Politics
The *national* polls showed Hillary would win, and she did win popular vote. But it was too close to call with the battleground *state* polls, and it was close. If state level polls show more than 10 point spread, it's probably right, if less than 10, could go either way. And you never know who will show up to vote.
Expecting Trump campaign will try to convince reluctant Biden leaners to not show up to vote, not necessarily vote for Trump.
BTW, in my previous post I meant if some GOP *elected officials* turn on Trump, not just GOP voters.
Expecting Trump campaign will try to convince reluctant Biden leaners to not show up to vote, not necessarily vote for Trump.
BTW, in my previous post I meant if some GOP *elected officials* turn on Trump, not just GOP voters.
- FangKC
- City Hall
- Posts: 18362
- Joined: Sat Jul 26, 2003 10:02 pm
- Location: Old Northeast -- Indian Mound
Re: Politics
Michael Steele said on Real Time with Bill Maher tonight that the White House's internal polling is showing that Trump is starting to lose support among GOP voters.
Everything in this election will depend on black voters. If black citizens vote in large numbers, Trump is toast. Hillary lost in 2016 mostly because of lack of black voters turning out in crucial swing states.
Everything in this election will depend on black voters. If black citizens vote in large numbers, Trump is toast. Hillary lost in 2016 mostly because of lack of black voters turning out in crucial swing states.
- Highlander
- City Center Square
- Posts: 10238
- Joined: Mon Jun 28, 2004 1:40 pm
- Location: Houston
Re: Politics
Do we necessarily have to wait until November? From the Portland Maine newspaper. Hope many more will follow suit. I do think it's time for the man to resign. He won't though. I do not even think he will retire quietly if he loses the election.FangKC wrote: ↑Sat Jun 06, 2020 12:28 am Michael Steele said on Real Time with Bill Maher tonight that the White House's internal polling is showing that Trump is starting to lose support among GOP voters.
Everything in this election will depend on black voters. If black citizens vote in large numbers, Trump is toast. Hillary lost in 2016 mostly because of lack of black voters turning out in crucial swing states.
https://www.pressherald.com/2020/06/05/ ... esign-now/
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- Mark Twain Tower
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Re: Politics
As mentioned, if more and more current GOP officials in office turn on Trump, might be possible he resigns if he's convinced he'll lose. His massive ego would probably rather quit 'while ahead' in his mind than tolerate a deflating loss. Pretty small chance given his base will feed his ego, even if it shrinks before election (his base, not his ego).
- grovester
- Oak Tower
- Posts: 4587
- Joined: Thu Mar 13, 2008 7:30 pm
- Location: KC Metro
Re: Politics
He could also resign so Pence could pardon him for crimes he will surely be charged with once he's out of office.
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- Broadway Square
- Posts: 2839
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Re: Politics
I'm sure that Joe "Republicans are good guys and we can work across the aisle with them" Biden would prosecute Trump and his admin just as vigorously as Obama prosecuted the Bush admin for their myriad crimes and the white collar criminals who tanked the economy
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- Ambassador
- Posts: 7466
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Re: Politics
So he's going to be fine?phuqueue wrote: ↑Sat Jun 06, 2020 9:53 am I'm sure that Joe "Republicans are good guys and we can work across the aisle with them" Biden would prosecute Trump and his admin just as vigorously as Obama prosecuted the Bush admin for their myriad crimes and the white collar criminals who tanked the economy
I think Trump should be most worried about the New York State courts.
- FangKC
- City Hall
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Re: Politics
Yes, there are actually several state courts he might have to worry about. Presidential pardons won't save him there, and a couple of those states may not have a Republican governor who might pardon him.
There are reportedly several sealed indictments from the Mueller investigation, and we don't know what is in them. They might be so toxic that no future president would pardon him. A future Republican president might not pardon him anyway--depending on who they are. Trump has made a lot of enemies in his own party that are biding their time until he's gone. Do you think Mike DeWine or John Kasich would go out on a limb for Trump?
There is also another unknown. How many other foreign governments did Trump try and pressure for personal favors, or that he might have rewarded or punished using presidential power? Foreign governments that have stayed quiet about it while Trump is still in office, but once Biden is president, might reveal Trump's actions. How many foreign intelligence services have damaging information they've been withholding, or even have Trump on tape committing some crime (Trump still reportedly uses his personal, unsecured cellphone). And how many of these foreign intelligence services have Trump proxies on tape committing crimes on his behalf (Jared, Ivanka, Don Jr., Eric, Rudy Giuliani, etc.).
https://www.cnn.com/2019/12/06/politic ... index.html
Trump's attempts to hide his taxes in the US may have already set off investigations in foreign countries as well. Once he's out of office, those governments will no longer fear retribution if they go after him.
A Look at Trump's Business Empire in the United States
https://abcnews.go.com/US/trumps-busine ... d=44559843
Donald Trump's Many, Many Business Dealings in 1 Map
https://time.com/4629308/donald-trump-b ... world-map/
There are reportedly several sealed indictments from the Mueller investigation, and we don't know what is in them. They might be so toxic that no future president would pardon him. A future Republican president might not pardon him anyway--depending on who they are. Trump has made a lot of enemies in his own party that are biding their time until he's gone. Do you think Mike DeWine or John Kasich would go out on a limb for Trump?
There is also another unknown. How many other foreign governments did Trump try and pressure for personal favors, or that he might have rewarded or punished using presidential power? Foreign governments that have stayed quiet about it while Trump is still in office, but once Biden is president, might reveal Trump's actions. How many foreign intelligence services have damaging information they've been withholding, or even have Trump on tape committing some crime (Trump still reportedly uses his personal, unsecured cellphone). And how many of these foreign intelligence services have Trump proxies on tape committing crimes on his behalf (Jared, Ivanka, Don Jr., Eric, Rudy Giuliani, etc.).
https://www.cnn.com/2019/12/06/politic ... index.html
Trump's attempts to hide his taxes in the US may have already set off investigations in foreign countries as well. Once he's out of office, those governments will no longer fear retribution if they go after him.
A Look at Trump's Business Empire in the United States
https://abcnews.go.com/US/trumps-busine ... d=44559843
Donald Trump's Many, Many Business Dealings in 1 Map
https://time.com/4629308/donald-trump-b ... world-map/
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- Mark Twain Tower
- Posts: 8519
- Joined: Sun Sep 11, 2011 2:27 pm
- Location: milky way, orion arm
Re: Politics
Seems that Biden might be pressured to pick a black VP to avoid significant backlash given recent events. Michelle Grisham (Latina) otherwise seemed to me level headed of options thrown out there but several could work. Thoughts on Atlanta mayor?
https://www.marketwatch.com/story/as-bi ... latestnews
https://www.marketwatch.com/story/as-bi ... latestnews
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- Mark Twain Tower
- Posts: 9862
- Joined: Tue Jul 17, 2012 7:54 am
Re: Politics
A mayor of a big city would make sense, lots of diversity of individuals with good executive office experience.
- FangKC
- City Hall
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Re: Politics
Managing a large city can provide as much managerial experience as running a small state; and in some ways provides more relevant experience in daily problem-solving than being a member of Congress who has never been a mayor or governor.
One can make an argument that running a large, diverse city like New York City, Los Angeles, Chicago, or Houston for two terms would provide a lot of experience governing.
One can make an argument that running a large, diverse city like New York City, Los Angeles, Chicago, or Houston for two terms would provide a lot of experience governing.
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- Mark Twain Tower
- Posts: 8519
- Joined: Sun Sep 11, 2011 2:27 pm
- Location: milky way, orion arm
Re: Politics
Fox News poll yesterday showing slight Biden favor in NC/TX/GA and significant favor in FL...
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/
Trump admin seemingly knowing he might not win, now asking Supreme Court to kill Obamacare...
https://news.google.com/articles/CAIiEM ... id=US%3Aen
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/
Trump admin seemingly knowing he might not win, now asking Supreme Court to kill Obamacare...
https://news.google.com/articles/CAIiEM ... id=US%3Aen
- alejandro46
- Alameda Tower
- Posts: 1358
- Joined: Fri Feb 02, 2018 11:24 pm
- Location: King in the North(Land)
Re: Politics
Vegas has Biden as a 20 point favorite fwiw. As always, "run and vote like you are 30 points behind," would be the advice I would give them
At a minimum, any admin needs to provide City and local gov't additional Fed funding to backstop their tanking revenues as a result of COVID so they don't have to lay off employees.
At a minimum, any admin needs to provide City and local gov't additional Fed funding to backstop their tanking revenues as a result of COVID so they don't have to lay off employees.
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- Mark Twain Tower
- Posts: 8519
- Joined: Sun Sep 11, 2011 2:27 pm
- Location: milky way, orion arm
Re: Politics
With a pretty good chance the White House admin as well as Senate/House going all DEM after election, we'll probably see a rush for approvals that only GOP would comply with before election.
IE, Charter/Spectrum asks FCC to drop restrictions on data caps before election. No caps was a condition with TimeWarnerCable merger...
https://www.lightreading.com/cable-vide ... -id/761888
IE, Charter/Spectrum asks FCC to drop restrictions on data caps before election. No caps was a condition with TimeWarnerCable merger...
https://www.lightreading.com/cable-vide ... -id/761888