KCRag Forum

Migration into KC metro 2011-2015. Where people are coming from.

The first numbered column shows migration into KC. The counterflow shows outpbound migration. The net-migration column shows who KC gained/lost to per market....


International into KC 2011-2015...


Source:
https://www.census.gov/data/tables/2015 ... ation.html

Any idea why St. Joe attracted more from KC during those years? Also curious to see Asia as second highest source of inbound. IIRC, last decade KC got more from Africa. Last decade, KC got a large chunk from LA/San Diego, more from Chicago/NYC during this period.

The in-migration from Africa was probably higher then because of the influx of refugees from ongoing conflicts in Somalia, Sudan, and the Democratic Republic of Congo. I know there are a lot of Somalis, Sudanese, and Congolese living in the Historic Northeast neighborhood.

I don' t know what is going on with the St. Joseph stats. I would think Kansas City would be sucking St. Joseph dry of residents.

FangKC wrote: ↑Mon Sep 09, 2019 10:21 pm The in-migration from Africa was probably higher then because of the influx of refugees from ongoing conflicts in Somalia, Sudan, and the Democratic Republic of Congo. I know there are a lot of Somalis, Sudanese, and Congolese living in the Historic Northeast neighborhood.

I don' t know what is going on with the St. Joseph stats. I would think Kansas City would be sucking St. Joseph dry of residents.

When I worked in the Northland I-29 Corridor, I saw multiple new co-workers decide to buy homes in/around St.Joe vs commuting 30-50 minutes from the south half of the metro.

It is cheaper to buy a house up there.

Any guesses what KC population will be after 2020

Based on current growth rate, would expect 2020 census to show...
KC Metro: 2.17M - 2.2M
KCMO: 495K to maybe just over 500K.

Mayor Lucas says the City's Planning Department gives a 2020 city population estimate by County as:

• Platte- 54,2020
• Clay- 137,446
• Jackson- 313,870
• Cass-85

• Total City Population of 505,604

I'm somewhat surprised how many more people still live south of the river than north. The way everyone talks about it, the northland already passed the southland.

The official decennial census tends to show a little less than City estimates (and some cities challenged last census). So don't be surprised if census shows just under 500K even if the city has a solid case it's higher.

earthling wrote: ↑Mon Apr 13, 2020 1:18 pm The official decennial census tends to show a little less than City estimates (and some cities challenged last census). So don't be surprised if census shows just under 500K even if the city has a solid case it's higher.

Coronavirus relief is available to cities with population's over 500,000. By saying we are over 500,000 today we can get those funds.

Based on this, the city grew by 45k while the northland grew by 35k.
We know downtown grew by 10k.

The city as a whole grew by 9% while the northland in the city grew by nearly triple that at ~22% growth
The rest of the city grew by a net 0 people over ten years.


2000-2010 districts population in 2010
Dist. 1 81,729
Dist. 2 83,655
Dist. 3 69,894
Dist. 4 76,287
Dist. 5 70,843
Dist. 6 77,379

New districts. 1,2 were smaller than the average for more growth room
Dist. 1 74,345
Dist. 2 74,669
Dist. 3 78,677
Dist. 4 78,164
Dist. 5 78,595
Dist. 6 75,337

About 10% of the 4th was put in the northland for a Clay-Platte total of around 156k in 2010 and you can see they were sized small
The estimate has the northland at 191k.

Any guess as to what the numbers for the entire metro will look like for the census?

The estimate for metro population in 2019 was 2,157,990. Assuming that is accurate and growth remains similar, it will probably be somewhere around 2,175,000 (metro population was 2,009,342 in 2010).

2019 migration data for KC metro...
https://www.recenter.tamu.edu/data/popu ... y%2C_MO-KS

2019 Metro Population: 2,157,990
Growth Rate: 0.63% (down from last few years but higher than US avg)
Net Domestic Migration: 2,437 (down from last few years though higher than earlier in decade)
International Migration: 2,377 (slightly down while US is significantly down overall)

Jackson Co grew slightly at 703K but some outward migration.
https://www.recenter.tamu.edu/data/popu ... son_County

JoCo showing among smallest growth rate ever, attracting fewer outsiders...
https://www.recenter.tamu.edu/data/popu ... son_County

STL Metro still slightly shrinking...
https://www.recenter.tamu.edu/data/popu ... s%2C_MO-IL

STL City down to about 300K, may drop below 300K in 2020 census...
https://www.recenter.tamu.edu/data/popu ... Louis_city

Lots of KC city/metro stats...
https://worldpopulationreview.com/us-ci ... population

Pending home sales in Jackson County was up 27% y.oy. in June. I wonder if this is an inflow or just pent up demand. We are up 5% for the year.

Anyone heard anything about census workers denied access to one and two lights and other DT apartments buildings?

moderne wrote: ↑Thu Sep 24, 2020 10:25 am Anyone heard anything about census workers denied access to one and two lights and other DT apartments buildings?

There was 40+ buildings in this situation at one point less than a couple weeks ago, mostly downtown.

Eric Bunch has been on top of this one

flyingember wrote: ↑Thu Sep 24, 2020 10:44 am

moderne wrote: ↑Thu Sep 24, 2020 10:25 am Anyone heard anything about census workers denied access to one and two lights and other DT apartments buildings?

There was 40+ buildings in this situation at one point less than a couple weeks ago, mostly downtown.

Eric Bunch has been on top of this one

Port KC said something like they would unlock the doors of any building on property they "own".

"These cities have also outperformed in terms of apartment rent growth and absorption, or the number of units physically occupied versus vacated. That indicates population growth may be holding up better (during corona) than it has at any point over the past decade."

- a tidbit on KC and STL from a recent COSTAR article

https://product.costar.com/home/news/sh ... cialreport

When is earliest of 2020 census reports?