flyingember wrote:This was opening year 2015 ridership forecasts but it's still interesting how conservative the numbers are.
Union Station 333
Look at 5th/Walnut. that's the city market stop. That's 15695 riders in the first year at this stop.
There's 19656 hours of coverage over the course of this year. Already this stop is only expected to have 80% usage of the stop at the very most.
It's very clear that most the usage on the system for this one stop will be from 9am to 3pm on Saturday and Sunday from April to October. (31 weeks) Using the long end on frequency of three trains per hour let's assume that half the usage of the year for this stop is on those 62 days, or 7847 riders.
So that's 36 trains going by each day for half the yearly usage of this stop. 7847 riders on 1116 trains. That's 0.14 riders per train stopping there during peak weekend market hours. That seems very low.
The numbers get interesting is for the rest of the year there's 3138 people with 19193 trains to serve them. There's not going to be a system capacity problem most of the day at the city market. There's TONS of room for TOD development.
This will become the defining location when pointing out how you can add thousands of residents and customers to an area with no new parking nearby.
This is worth revisiting as the system reaches 3 million rides soon.
Here's the first year report the new numbers came fromhttp://kcstreetcar.org/wp-content/uploa ... rt-web.pdf
This is the average daily use with each NB and SB stop averaged. To compare to old I took 18th stop that wasn't built and distributed half each to the 19th and 16th St stops.
The percentage is the difference between the original forecast and actual use.
City Market 504- 988%
River Market North 467- 1085%
River Market West 379- 1515%
North Loop NB 50- 24%
Library 166- 33%
Metro 246- 30%
Power & Light 301- 121%
Kauffman 141- 91%
Crossroads 208- 66%
Union Station 1350- 405%
Total: 4923- 183%