Great Plains Aquifer Beginning to Run Dry

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FangKC
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Great Plains Aquifer Beginning to Run Dry

Post by FangKC »

The New York Times reports that the Great Plains Aquifer, that runs from South Dakota to the Texas Panhandle, has dropped dramatically, and wells are starting to run dry in many areas. The drop in aquifer levels are attributed to severe droughts, and intensive farming fed by irrigation. The article states that less than one-fifth of farmed land in Kansas depends on irrigation. Of that acreage, one-fifth has already run dry.

One of the big causes is growing corn in an arid region. Corn is water-intensive. Corn farming is also among the top subsidized crops in the USA.
The villain in this story is in fact the farmers’ savior: the center-pivot irrigator, a quarter- or half-mile of pipe that traces a watery circle around a point in the middle of a field. The center pivots helped start a revolution that raised farming from hardscrabble work to a profitable business.

Since the pivots’ debut some six decades ago, the amount of irrigated cropland in Kansas has grown to nearly three million acres, from a mere 250,000 in 1950. But the pivot irrigators’ thirst for water — hundreds and sometimes thousands of gallons a minute — has sent much of the aquifer on a relentless decline. And while the big pivots have become much more efficient, a University of California study earlier this year concluded that Kansas farmers were using some of their water savings to expand irrigation or grow thirstier crops, not to reduce consumption.

A shift to growing corn, a much thirstier crop than most, has only worsened matters. Driven by demand, speculation and a government mandate to produce biofuels, the price of corn has tripled since 2002, and Kansas farmers have responded by increasing the acreage of irrigated cornfields by nearly a fifth.


http://www.nytimes.com/2013/05/20/us/hi ... rs.html?hp
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Eon Blue
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Re: Great Plains Aquifer Beginning to Run Dry

Post by Eon Blue »

Another consequence of local sprawl. Every section of non-irrigated land that is removed from agricultural production here gets replaced with an irrigated section out there. One could argue that we produce more ag products than we need to, but this tradeoff is the current reality as it stands now.
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Re: Great Plains Aquifer Beginning to Run Dry

Post by aknowledgeableperson »

Eon Blue wrote:Another consequence of local sprawl. Every section of non-irrigated land that is removed from agricultural production here gets replaced with an irrigated section out there.
I seriously doubt that. Farmers irrigate in order to grow a crop that makes more money for them instead of a non-irrigated crop. With or without suburbs there will be irrigated crops.
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chaglang
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Re: Great Plains Aquifer Beginning to Run Dry

Post by chaglang »

aknowledgeableperson wrote:
Eon Blue wrote:Another consequence of local sprawl. Every section of non-irrigated land that is removed from agricultural production here gets replaced with an irrigated section out there.
I seriously doubt that. Farmers irrigate in order to grow a crop that makes more money for them instead of a non-irrigated crop. With or without suburbs there will be irrigated crops.
Come on. The point isn't about whether there will be irrigated crops or not. The point is about the location of those farms. The tradeoff you make when arable land around cities is converted to suburbs is that it pushes ag into areas not as well suited for farming and needing more water.
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Eon Blue
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Re: Great Plains Aquifer Beginning to Run Dry

Post by Eon Blue »

Also, sprawl increases demand for gasoline (read: ethanol), which drives up the price of water-intensive corn crops and makes them more desirable to farmers in those drier areas the ag has been displaced to.
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Re: Great Plains Aquifer Beginning to Run Dry

Post by aknowledgeableperson »

Many of those farmers were irrigating before ethanol was an issue. The growth of irrigated crops started after WWII per the following:

itc.tamu.edu/mf2849.pdf‎
Rapid expansion of Kansas irrigation occurred following WWII for a variety of reasons, including political/societal will, technology, and readily available energy (Figure 1). The 1945 water appropriation act, which provides the basis of Kansas water law today, was designed to encourage development of water resources. With improvements in irrigation well drilling and pumping equipment, and the development of the Hugoton natural gas well field, irrigation acreage increased rapidly using groundwater from the Ogallala Aquifer.

System Type Acreage Trends
Irrigation system types have changed over time, switching from predominately surface flood irrigation to sprinkler irrigation, which is predominately center pivots (Figure 2a). In 1970, about 18 percent of the 1.8 million irrigated acres were sprinkler irrigated. The volatility in the reported total irrigation acreage base until 1989 was due to the association of irrigation data being reported using authorized acres as opposed to acres actually irrigated on the irrigators’ annual water-use report. Never-the-less, much of the increase in the total irrigation acreage base during the 1970s was associated with the adoption of center pivot irrigation, with an increase of nearly an additional million irrigated acres by center pivots. In 1990, about one half of all acres were center pivot irrigated. Since 1990, the total irrigated acreage base has remained relatively stable, but center pivot irrigation now accounts for nearly 90 percent of all irrigated land.
But then, irrigation is growing for another reason:

agfax.com/.../irrigation-booming-in-midwest-as-producers-try-to-boost-...
In a year like this, irrigation systems have returned 30% to 100% of their cost in one year. Murdock’s yield difference between irrigated and non-irrigated is at least 160 bushels per acre. “And who knew we’d have $8 corn at harvest time?” Murdock asked.
In Texas:

www.tshaonline.org/handbook/online/articles/ahi01‎
In 1913 the Texas legislature passed the first major irrigation act, which called for the establishment of the Board of Water Engineers to regulate water appropriations. A series of dry seasons (1916–18) aroused renewed interest in irrigation from storage reservoirs, and a constitutional amendment was adopted providing for the formation of water-conservation districts by landowners. Whereas the previous irrigation projects had been largely private ventures, most of the new ones were formed under the district act, and most of the former private projects were taken over by public agencies and operated as a nonprofit service to the land. The use of irrigation continued to increase throughout the first half of the twentieth century. In 1948, of the nearly 30,000,000 agricultural acres in the state, 2,884,700 acres was under irrigation. Irrigated land accounted for about 10 percent of the state's harvested acreage. Irrigation was practiced on 29,779 farms; sprinkler or overhead systems were used on more than 850. In some areas irrigation was absolutely necessary for successful agriculture. In others, rainfall was normally sufficient to sustain plant growth, but production was greatly increased by supplemental irrigation.
...
The irrigation acreage supplied by groundwater pumped from wells was said to have expanded more rapidly in Texas than in any other area in the United States. Methods of irrigation established in various sections of the state depended upon the crops to be grown and the available water supply. In the rice belt the common method used was border flooding or pans. In the Valley the basin flooding method was used for citrus fruit and the furrow or row method was used for vegetables and field crops. The row method was followed also for cotton and grain crops in other sections of the state.

Irrigated land in Texas increased to 3,131,534 acres by 1950. The growth was largely a result of the rapid development of irrigation on the High Plains, which was supplied exclusively with high-quality groundwater from the underlying Ogallala sands. Irrigation of the region continued to grow spectacularly—more rapidly than any development elsewhere—to 5,894,686 acres by 1974. The High Plains was one of the largest irrigated areas in the United States and represented 65 percent of all Texas irrigation. The amount of irrigated cropland harvested increased from 10 percent in 1948 to about 25 percent during the mid-1960s, to 72 percent in 1973. In 1974 there were 8.5 million acres in Texas under irrigation. Of that total, 22 percent (more than 1,800,000 acres) was irrigated by sprinkler systems and the rest was watered by surface systems that channeled water in borders, rows, and field levees. The field levees were used mainly for rice. Many irrigation systems employed efficient pipelines or lined ditches to prevent water loss. Drip irrigation generated some interest, especially for tree crops, and was used on 4,500 acres; thereafter the method became standard for many kinds of orchard. Eighty percent of the total irrigated acreage came from water pumped from wells. Important groundwater-supplied irrigated areas included the Winter Garden Region and adjacent lands below the Balcones Escarpment, the Trans-Pecos farms of Reeves, Pecos, and Ward counties, the Marfa, Van Horn, and Dell City vicinities, and part of the Gulf Coast, as well as several north central Texas localities (where, especially during the 1960s, there was an increased use of sprinkler systems for peanut growing). Major areas supplied with surface water were the lower Rio Grande valley, portions of the Gulf Coast rice-growing area, the El Paso valley area, and alluvial lands along the lower Brazos River and other Texas rivers and tributaries.
With regards to corn and Kansas:

skyways.lib.ks.us/genweb/archives/1912/c/corn.html‎
About 1895 J. M. McFarland, formerly assistant secretary of the Kansas State Board of Agricuture[sic] and statistician in the United States department of agriculture, published a pamphlet showing the production of corn in the eastern part of Kansas—that is east of line drawn from the northern boundary of the state between Smith and Jewell counties to the southern boundary between Harper and Barber counties—as compared with the great corn growing states east of the Mississippi river, for the ten years 1884 to 1893, inclusive. Illinois was the only state east of the Mississippi that exceeded eastern Kansas in every one of the ten years. In 1886 Kansas was exceeded by Illinois and Indiana; in 1887, owing to a marked decrease in the acreage in eastern Kansas, it was exceeded by Ohio, Indiana, Illinois and Kentucky; in 1890, when the acreage fell off to about one-half that of the preceding year, it was exceeded by Ohio, Indiana, Illinois, Kentucky and Tennessee.

The greatest corn crop in the history of Kansas was in 1889, when the state produced 273,988,231 bushels, having over 5,000,000 acres in "waving corn fields." This great crop led Gov. Martin to say in an interview: "Corn is the sign and seal of a good American agricultural country; corn is an American institution; one of the discoveries of the continent. It was known to the Indians, and to cultivate it was one of the few agricultural temptations which overcame their proud and haughty contempt for labor. Kansas has corn and so has luck."
...
The corn crops of Kansas for 1910, when over 8,500,000 acres were planted, amounted to 152,810,884 bushels, valued at $76,402,328.
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chaglang
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Re: Great Plains Aquifer Beginning to Run Dry

Post by chaglang »

This is a good summary of the problem: farming in a region that is too naturally dry to support it, improved drilling technology to reach the Aquifer, woefully inefficient watering technology and practices.

http://hrd.apec.org/index.php/The_Ogall ... n_Resource
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Highlander
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Re: Great Plains Aquifer Beginning to Run Dry

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chaglang wrote:This is a good summary of the problem: farming in a region that is too naturally dry to support it, improved drilling technology to reach the Aquifer, woefully inefficient watering technology and practices.

http://hrd.apec.org/index.php/The_Ogall ... n_Resource
A huge amount of water is lost to evaporation by center-pivot system. Spraying water high in the air when the humidity is like 5% is never a good thing.

Most corn, by the way, is grown for animal feed. Beef consumption has been booming and that probably fuels the corn market.
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chaglang
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Re: Great Plains Aquifer Beginning to Run Dry

Post by chaglang »

Highlander wrote: Most corn, by the way, is grown for animal feed. Beef consumption has been booming and that probably fuels the corn market.
That's a great point. It also can't help that corn winds up in almost every processed food.
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Re: Great Plains Aquifer Beginning to Run Dry

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The real reason Kansas is running out of water
Like dot-com moguls in the ’90s and real estate gurus in the 2000s, farmers in Western Kansas are enjoying the fruits of a bubble: Their crop yields have been boosted by a gusher of soon-to-vanish irrigation water. That’s the message of a new study by Kansas State University researchers. Drawing down their region’s groundwater at more than six times the natural rate of recharge, farmers there have managed to become so productive that the area boasts “the highest total market value of agriculture products” of any congressional district in the nation, the authors note. Those products are mainly beef fattened on large feedlots; and the corn used to fatten those beef cows.

But they’re on the verge of essentially sucking dry a large swath of the High Plains Aquifer, one of the United States’ greatest water resources. The researchers found that 30 percent of the region’s groundwater has been tapped out, and if present trends continue, another 39 percent will be gone within 50 years. As the water stock dwindles, of course, pumping what’s left gets more and more expensive — and farming becomes less profitable and ultimately uneconomical. But all isn’t necessarily lost. The authors calculate that if the region’s farmers can act collectively and cut their water use 20 percent now, their farms would produce less and generate lower profits in the short term, but could sustain corn and beef farming in the area into the next century.
http://grist.org/food/the-real-reason-k ... socialflow
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Re: Great Plains Aquifer Beginning to Run Dry

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Interesting to note, that farmland in this irrigation dependent area near the Colorado border has been selling near $20,000 per acre, in recent sales. Current production does not nearly support this level of value. I don't have any form of explanation for this fact. Nor can I explain a rational reason as to why farmers are not selling their land as fast as they can at these levels.
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Re: Great Plains Aquifer Beginning to Run Dry

Post by Joe Smith »

Everyone on this board will be dead before it goes dry.
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FangKC
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Re: Great Plains Aquifer Beginning to Run Dry

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Real forward thinking Joe Smith. The people of the future will probably erect a statue of you to commemorate your selfless attitude.
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Re: Great Plains Aquifer Beginning to Run Dry

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Joe Smith wrote:Everyone on this board will be dead before it goes dry.
yep, screw our kids!
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Re: Great Plains Aquifer Beginning to Run Dry

Post by Joe Smith »

Let me get this straight.

You care more about something you have no control over, an event that might happen or not, than the over-the-top TIF's for developers, 20-30 year property tax abatements all over downtown and spending money we don't have on a toy train and the billion dollar new airport boondoggle, which btw, is all happening right now, than you do about one of the worst school districts in the country and all our crumbling infrastructure in K.C. along with the high taxes that comes with all the giveaways and the failure to address immediate and current problems?

Typical shortsighted Rag'ers. You're already screwing the next few generations. Hundreds of millions for vanity projects, while kids in K.C. go hungry and have to go to unaccredited schools. That is happening right now. Today.
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Re: Great Plains Aquifer Beginning to Run Dry

Post by slimwhitman »

Joe Smith wrote:Everyone on this board will be dead before it goes dry.
Everyone on this board will be dead before the KCMO school district is worth a damn.
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Re: Great Plains Aquifer Beginning to Run Dry

Post by chrizow »

slimwhitman wrote:
Joe Smith wrote:Everyone on this board will be dead before it goes dry.
Everyone on this board will be dead before the KCMO school district is worth a damn.
and i would guess that 97% of people on this board were not born yet when the KCMO school district used to be worth a damn.
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Re: Great Plains Aquifer Beginning to Run Dry

Post by bobbyhawks »

chrizow wrote:
slimwhitman wrote:
Joe Smith wrote:Everyone on this board will be dead before it goes dry.
Everyone on this board will be dead before the KCMO school district is worth a damn.
and i would guess that 97% of people on this board were not born yet when the KCMO school district used to be worth a damn.
That is a great question. What is the ballpark for the crossing of this threshold? ~1970s?
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Re: Great Plains Aquifer Beginning to Run Dry

Post by aknowledgeableperson »

The start of busing was the start of the downfall.
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Re: Great Plains Aquifer Beginning to Run Dry

Post by chingon »

aknowledgeableperson wrote:The start of busing was the start of the downfall.
Of the aquifer?
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