phuqueue wrote:"All Lives Matter" is a racist movement not because the statement "all lives matter" isn't true on its face but because that's not what the movement actually stands for.
I'm not taking about the ALM movement. I'm just saying BLM and the alt right don't seem to believe that all lives actually matter.
I mean as I tried to show you with the couple of links that I found in about ten seconds of googling, BLM does in fact speak out against police violence against members of other races, so I don't think that's accurate. If you don't hear about it very often, I'd guess that it's probably because there aren't high profile police killings of unarmed white people very often. Which is kind of the whole point of emphasizing that black
lives matter, because nobody seems to doubt that other lives matter.
shinatoo wrote:I think the anger that African Americans have a white person that comes to a rally with an ALM sign is...
Why if it's an African American at a BLM rally holding a ALM sign?
Because of what ALM has come to mean, I find it unlikely that this would happen. I suspect that it would still not go over well, because of what ALM has come to mean.
shinatoo wrote:When you are hopelessly frustrated you tend to lean toward anything you can do to get help, like shutting down the highway or setting a car on fire. And I'll tell you, if that doesn't work they will turn to something more like organized rebellion.
Hmm... a race-based organization... frustrated that they can't get their message across... isn't above impacting (hurting?) innocent people to make sure their message is heard. That sounds dangerously close to the alt right, doesn't it?
Anyway, how does BLM measure whether or not their current tactics are working?
Anybody lashes out violently if they're pushed far enough. The difference with the "alt right" (but we should call them what they are: Nazis) is that the "pushing" is all in their minds. I'm fond of quoting MLK on this: "a riot is the language of the unheard." But nobody in history has been more "heard" than white men. In fact, we heard them so loudly that we're stuck with their president even though somebody else won millions more votes.
AllThingsKC wrote:On a different, topic: phuqueue, you're good at explaining things, you're into politics, and you have good head on your shoulders. Do you have any specific predictions for, say the next 6 months in terms of North Korea or Trump or the political mood of the country or anything like that?
I ask because I'm trying to predict things in the next six months, and I'm usually good at predicting things, but North Korea (and Trump's reaction to various things) are such a question mark to me at this point. So I'm interested in seeing your opinion, if you have one.
The short answer is: I have no idea, and I wouldn't trust anybody else who thinks they do. But I'm down to speculate baselessly.
I doubt that anything more than continued saber rattling and occasional missile tests will happen with NK, although I'm not resoundingly confident about that. I think it's more likely that China ups the pressure (it already has in the past few days, to some extent) and that Kim's regime ultimately collapses than it is that we fight a second Korean War, but I don't think either of these scenarios is super likely and I don't think either one happens in the next six months. But if you're still getting internet in the irradiated wastelands as you read this, remember that I was "not resoundingly confident."
I think Trump's support will probably continue to erode, but he won't lose his base
I think he will continue to pursue the kinds of policies he has to date (a combination of his headline campaign promises and red meat to the religious right), with mixed at best success
I doubt we will have a government shutdown, but it's not out of the question
I doubt we will fail to raise the debt ceiling, particularly since Republicans don't care about this when a fellow Republican is president (but I have to admit that I'm morbidly curious about what will happen if we do hit the debt ceiling since it is arguably unconstitutional anyway)
My gut still says that when the budget is eventually passed, the wall won't be funded and the ACA's cost-sharing reductions will be
I think the Iran deal will ultimately collapse but I'm not sure how it will happen (Iran claims new sanctions relieve it of its obligations, Trump fails to certify Iranian compliance again, or something else)
I have literally no idea what will happen to Mueller but I think if his investigation continues it will turn up a lot of financial crimes within the Trump organization, although it could (probably will) take much longer than six months for all that to come out (I don't know whether it will turn up collusion with Russia, but Jr's eagerness to collude, as expressed in the emails that he himself released for some reason, definitely ups the odds of that in my mind)
More Confederate statues will come down
I don't know what else.